"All White Collar Jobs" Gone - 6 Reasons For Such Bold Statements
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Show transcript
00:00:00: I want to do a little analysis since i'm deep dive and give you six key reasons.
00:00:06: I identified for all these bold AI related statements we're seeing recently, like that AI is coming from all white collar jobs within eighteen months which IS a statement made by the Microsoft AI chief couple of months ago.
00:00:24: All white collar work will be automated by AI within or in eighteen months according to him.
00:00:31: But of course it's not the only such case.
00:00:33: recently we had Eric Schmidt, the former Google CEO telling us at a commencement speech At The University Of Arizona that AI Will have A profound impact on jobs and That students will need To adapt then.
00:00:49: By the way I think he has an important point there but obviously delivering this message by a smiling CEO or ex-CEO chairman to a group of students and, btw buy a person who was in charge one the companies that's now leading the entire AI transition.
00:01:13: kind of difficult, but I'll get back to his point here and where i agree.
00:01:19: And then we also got Dario Amodei my all-time favorite who doesn't miss a chance in the microphone to tell us that AI is going to take as significant part of our jobs.
00:01:30: it's going to automate all programming therefore by extension its coming for other white collar jobs or at least and Sam Altman says that not even the CEO's job is saved from AI.
00:01:45: And yeah, maybe there was some truth to it... AI could certainly draft statements like this one here… I agree with that though this guy isn't a CO.
00:01:57: just be totally fair!
00:01:59: Anyways – six reasons i identified for these statements.
00:02:07: It's our future we're talking about here, humanity's future.
00:02:11: And the first point I think is indeed they sincerely believe it.
00:02:18: at least some of them may sincerely believe what their saying.
00:02:23: and that takes me back to Eric Schmidt.
00:02:26: in his speech he did not say that AI will eliminate all white collar jobs but instead people will need to adopt and embrace AI.
00:02:40: And I think there is some truth to that, i've been saying that too in my videos and episodes... ...and of course I am creating courses for example on clod code, codex, clod co-work besides all those programming courses!
00:02:53: And I got more programming courses coming up too but.. ..I have those courses to teach you the inn and outs off Codex or Claude code and how to efficiently work with these tools beyond the very basics because I believe that as a developer in case of these tools but In case of Claude co-work As a white collar worker.
00:03:14: In general you indeed have to adapt And embrace these tools To prepare for The future, A future where AI will play an important role Of course Because it already does Play An Important Role.
00:03:29: it is an important tool.
00:03:31: It can really make you more productive and help you, and will transform jobs!
00:03:37: I think there's no doubt about that.
00:03:39: but of course delivering this message in the way was delivered smiling on stage to students who are ready start their careers which now are careers full pretty difficult, especially since we have all these other statements that tell us why color jobs in general are in high danger.
00:04:02: But still yeah I think there is some sincere belief and some of those messages, especially the more moderate ones.
00:04:09: Adapting having to adapt?
00:04:11: I'm on board with that!
00:04:13: AI wiping out
00:04:13: everything?!
00:04:14: Especially in eighteen months?
00:04:17: Yeah... We got some other reasons for that.
00:04:19: For example, they want to accelerate adoption.
00:04:24: You have to keep in mind That pretty much all these people who are making statements Are doing what?
00:04:30: Oh yeah right They're selling you the tools the AI models, they're selling you Claude code and so on.
00:04:39: And yeah I also sell courses on Claude Code.
00:04:41: i get that point!
00:04:42: I'm very interested in AI.
00:04:44: not automating away all our jobs though... ...and I did create an entire video where I shared that AI took the joy out of programming for me.. ..and obviously I am also adjusting and trying to find some new joy.
00:04:58: in a way we work but believe me if AI wouldn't exist would be perfectly fine with it.
00:05:04: But yeah, those people are trying to accelerate adoption.
00:05:08: They of course are trying push people to adopt AI because you will need two be ready for the future.
00:05:18: and there is some truth too that as I mentioned but offcourse.
00:05:21: that's another strong reason making these bold statements now.
00:05:25: a statement like AI wiping out all white collar work Kind of difficult because why would you adopt a tool if it doesn't matter anyways?
00:05:35: So there probably are other reasons for that and There are.
00:05:40: Because related to accelerated adoption, they Of course want to sell their services in tools not just To YOU as an employee but to companies as whole.
00:05:52: If a company sees the chance getting rid of employees and instead using AI, that is pretty interesting for some companies.
00:06:03: For most companies probably.
00:06:06: And therefore pushing messages like this one That all white collar work will be gone could impress Some companies to buy more AI related services capacity anything, whatever they need for their business.
00:06:24: So yeah even statements like this can make sense when it comes to selling stuff.
00:06:28: Statements Like This Can Also Help With Justifying Restructuring Both At Companies Like Microsoft and so on but of course also at other companies which can now due that second point clearly communicate That They Need Less Employees Because Of AI.
00:06:48: And we're seeing tons a lot of layoffs that are always or pretty much, always explained with AI.
00:06:59: Or AI at least plays a role in those explanations.
00:07:02: we saw layoffs at Cloudflare and Meta... And many more.
00:07:07: you're probably well aware all these Layoff waves were seeing!
00:07:11: I'm not saying that AI is NOT playing any role there.
00:07:15: it's certainly playing as a justification for those layoffs.
00:07:21: I mean, it's no secret that all these companies massively overhired during the pandemic and already before the pandemic if we're being honest!
00:07:31: So of course AI could now be a reason why they are hiring less but of course To have bold statements like this, that makes this justification so much easier.
00:07:53: But let's not stop there!
00:07:54: It is also about impressing investors – maybe not for Microsoft but even they are interested in pushing their stock price….
00:08:08: They want to go public this year.
00:08:10: And together with Space X, we have three large companies that wanna go public and of course in order to drum up demand make sure they get the largest share available liquidity because it will kind be a problem for all three companies also prior to IPOs.
00:08:38: by the way, you of course want have good financing rounds.
00:08:42: You wanna have good valuation.
00:08:43: so in order for that again statements like this and I don't just wanna push this guy here They make sense, right?
00:08:53: You want to make it very clear that in a world where everything is changing.
00:08:58: Where all the work is being eliminated and automated done by AI you are at a company That sells the future!
00:09:06: You're at A company with the top AI models.
00:09:10: That's such strong message.
00:09:12: so obviously this is an important point and therefore I believe that is one of the most important reasons for some of these bold statements.
00:09:24: And then we have regulation, in fact you want to shape regulation.
00:09:29: so see AI is clearly ramping up.
00:09:34: everybody's talking about AI myself included i'm aware of that.
00:09:38: obviously due all this bold statement here there are more resistance against AI.
00:09:45: So these statements kind of are becoming a problem for the companies themselves and I think at some point they will realize it.
00:09:51: Nonetheless, Of course i think Some of these companies maybe all of them Are trying to Make those bold statements also too kind of steer regulation.
00:10:01: You could make The argument that because AI has such A huge impact And is so dangerous we always had Statements related To That.
00:10:09: Think of the mythos model by anthropic Because you might want to influence regulators and regulation bodies, too.
00:10:19: Maybe restrict the number of companies that's allowed work on AI models... And to kind-of really nudge and shape regulation to be in your favor!
00:10:29: Obviously this can backfire as I mentioned because all these statements are creating so much anger & hate for very understandable reasons that there of course is a lot pushback against AI, against data centers.
00:10:46: We're seeing in the US.
00:10:48: The problem just is, of course the US isn't the only country out there with good AI models or best models.
00:10:54: We got China as a fierce competition.
00:10:57: so opting OUT OF AI just ISN'T A SOLUTION.
00:11:00: YOU CAN'T JUST SAY OKAY, well POS will not continue developing OR WILL FORBID IT PROHIBITED ANYTHING LIKE THAT WONT WORK BECAUSE IT'S AN INTERNATIONAL COMPETITION.
00:11:11: EUROPE IS NOT INVOLVED NO WORRIES BUT CHINA IS!
00:11:16: So yeah... That still is another point I'm seeing.
00:11:19: And kind of related, it's the narrative advantage because if you are seen or your company has seen as the most aggressive company when it comes to that AI going take over all jobs' narratives... ...that may attract talent investors and give you an edge in the competitive positioning.
00:11:46: It may attract more customers because when those buy those services and tools, they may go for the company that has most aggressive messaging.
00:12:01: So being in a media will draw most of hate on you so it can become problem but at same time attract customers.
00:12:19: I think there are many, many dangers attached to these messages and i'm certain we'll see those companies kind of go away from these strong messages very soon as they feel the pushback.
00:12:36: And it's also important for me And I think we can see that AI has a strong impact and that we need to adapt.
00:12:46: There is no doubt about that for me, but as i also mentioned many times before, AI Is A Useful Tool!
00:12:54: I don't know what will be the case in...a couple of years?
00:12:57: In MANY MANY
00:12:57: YEARS?!
00:12:58: I DON'T KNOW NOBODY Knows including those people But right now it's-it's a really really useful tool.
00:13:05: It can be really useful, it could also be very dangerous.
00:13:08: Very often though no matter which task you're tackling... ...it only gets you to eighty or ninety percent and the remaining twenty or ten percent are actually the hard parts.
00:13:18: And when we talk about coding.
00:13:21: if done wrong If falling into a vibe-coding trap for example That code of the eighty percent working application can be so bad that it's pretty much impossible to get to one hundred percent.
00:13:34: So you could say, You're not even at eighty percent and then your at zero percent?
00:13:39: You will never reach our goal!
00:13:40: So...that is really important for me here.
00:13:44: These are all reasons for these statements..That doesn't make them true necessarily though And its worth keeping in mind is a very useful tool, but that nobody can look into the future and we just don't know how good AI will get if it can be mostly error-free or pretty much error free.
00:14:08: If it CAN get us to one hundred percent... Nobody knows that!
00:14:12: Right now.
00:14:13: keep that in mind.
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